A Tropical Cyclone 16 Path: Storm Expected to Hit Florid Panhandle


Forecasters say a disturbance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico will soon become a tropical or subtropical storm that is headed for the northern U.S. Gulf Coast.

But the official forecast is calling for the would-be Nestor to top out with 50 miles per hour winds before reaching the coast late Friday into Saturday morning.

The center is expected to reach land very late Friday night or early Saturday. That means tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

The National Weather Service warned that "strong winds, heavy rainfall, storm surge flooding, and risky rip currents are likely". Regardless, heavy rain remains the primary threat.

Most of the current storm tracks are showing the storm barreling through both North and SC this weekend. Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for areas along the Mississippi/Alabama border to Yankeetown, Fla. A turn toward the northeast is expected this afternoon or tonight, and a northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected on Friday and Saturday.

The storm is predicted to bring strong winds, heavy rainfall and flash flooding to impacted areas.

It may become a tropical storm later today as it tracks toward northeast toward the Florida Panhandle.

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Along the Florida coast from east of Apalachicola and around the Big Bend to near the Tampa area, unsafe storm surge is a significant threat.

A general 1 inch to 3 inches of rain is forecast from the northeastern Gulf coast to near the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay.

The rest of central Alabama will likely get less than an inch, forecasters said.

As of Wednesday, Oct. 16, there have been 15 tropical depressions, 13 tropical storms, five hurricanes and three major hurricanes in the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.

An area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico has been given an 80% chance for tropical development over the next five days. Winds should remain below anything that will cause damage however.

Now the National Hurricane Center hasn't released an official track of the storm, as it hasn't yet strengthened to tropical storm level, once it does, we will update this article with the NHC's track predictions.