National Hurricane Center Director Ken Graham urged residents not to bet on safety just because the specific forecast track has the storm just a bit offshore. The only other is Hurricane Andrew in 1992.
Category four Hurricane Dorian continues to strengthen, with sustained winds of 240 kilometres per hour, gusting to 296km/h - and it is not done yet. The worldwide hurricane database goes back continuously only to 1983.
In October, two months later, Hurricane Michael became the third Category five storm to hit the US under Trump's presidency as it fell on the Florida Panhandle. Hurricane-force winds now extend outward up to 45 miles (72 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).
Tropical storm warnings were in effect for parts of the Florida coast, and residents up and down the Atlantic coast braced for a brush with danger.
So if you look at this cone you could still see a landfall in Florida.
Meanwhile, Trump had to be corrected when he announced on Twitter that Alabama could be in Dorian's path.
The storm is moving slowly. They also noted there is "an increasing likelihood of strong winds and unsafe storm surge along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, [and] North Carolina later this week".More news: Climate activist Thunberg joins hundreds of teens at UN protest
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About 16,000 workers are fanning out across Florida to handle expected power outages stemming from the storm, Florida Power & Light Company president Eric Silagy said. Much depends on the strength of the high-pressure area that has been pushing Dorian west, toward the northern Bahamas and Florida.
The storm had been projected to reach Florida for Labor Day weekend, but current forecasts have it turning north Monday evening.
"The chance of landfall in New Jersey - that's relatively low", said Nick Carr, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Mount Holly. During a hurricane warning - which is typically issued 36 hours in advance and means hurricane conditions are expected - residents should complete storm their preparations and immediately leave the area if directed by local officials, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Scenarios involving a direct hit, a graze and a near miss appear equally likely based on available forecasts.
In coastal North Carolina, major flooding could result from the storm surge, the storm-driven rise in ocean water above normally dry land.
The devastation is expected to be worse because Dorian is slowing down and will hover over the areas she is battering.
This is making it hard for forecasters to make predictions about Dorian, according to the New York Times.