'Robust' Tropical Disturbance Reported In Atlantic


Highs will warm to near 90 degrees along the coast and the low to mid-90s farther inland. A few isolated showers can not be ruled out overnight, with morning lows in the mid 70s.

Both the US global model (GFS) and the European global (ECMWF) - widely considered to be two of the best models in the tropics - predict the tropical wave to become a depression or named storm some time this weekend.

Odds that a broad low pressure system moving slowly across the Atlantic toward the Caribbean will develop into a larger storm have jumped in the previous 48 hours, and now the National Weather Service is predicting it will develop into a tropical depression over the weekend. "Heavy rain is all we can expect from this wave". Also stronger wind shear continues over these areas. Areas that receive this much rain are vulnerable to flash flooding.

By Sunday, the weather pattern will begin to transition back to its typical summer ways, with a bit of lingering tropical moisture around.

More showers and storms are likely throughout the afternoon, with highs in the upper 80s and low 90s.

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The hurricane center said it will be several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles by the weekend, when conditions are expected to become more favorable for it to organize.

The Atlantic hurricane season typically becomes more active in August, with its climatological peak coming on September 10.

Hurricane season runs June 1 through November 30.

Forecasters give it a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next five days as it moves diagonally northwest across the Caribbean toward South Florida, bringing heavy rainfall to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, Hispaniola, and portions of the southeastern Bahamas.

Visit ClickOrlando.com/Hurricane to prepare for any possible threats.