Tropical Development Likely in the Gulf This Week


They also are hinting at the fact that this could form into a tropical depression over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. Until the low develops, forecasters a hard time determining how the system will interact with the southerly flow over the Gulf and warm sea surface temperatures.

Headline number two is the area of low pressure that's now making its way toward the Gulf Coast. Forecasters at the Weather Prediction Center have outlined much of west-central Florida in a region likely to receive more than four inches of rain through Friday. An isolated tornado/waterspout or two certainly can't be ruled out.

Why do we need a center of circulation to know where it will go? Then, the system drifts westward with Southern Louisiana in its sights.

As of the current forecast, it looks like Wednesday will be the day we will see the most prevalent rain. It is too early to speculate where it is going to go because it hasn't even formed as of yet.

"Regardless of development, this system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week", the hurricane center said. The tropical influence for the Tennessee Valley is to be determined, but we will be watching closely.

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This is likely one of the reasons why the agency tasked with tracking and forecasting tropical system increased their five-day projection from 20% Saturday to 50-50 Sunday. Rain chances remain high for the rest of the week in Central Florida as the system in the Gulf develops.

More typical scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible for areas further inland and to the east, in locations such as Tallahassee, Gainesville, Ocala, Orlando and Miami.

ON THIS DATE IN 2003: What may be the world's highest dew point temperature was recorded at Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, in the Persian Gulf.

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