Lane remains a Category 3 hurricane as it churns closer to islands


"Lane is forecast to cross into the central Pacific basin later today".

Lane is expected to move westward to west-northwestward through Monday night, but at a slightly slower forward speed.

Maintaining strength overnight, Lane remains a Category 3 hurricane and a possible threat to the islands later this week.

A National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration G-IV aircraft plans to do sampling in the environment around the Hawaiian Islands and Hurricane Lane today. "It remains too early to forecast the exact location of Lane and whether it will directly impact portions the state".

At 5pm Thursday HST (4am BST), Hurricane Lane was located about 1,540 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico, or 1,780 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii.

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The Weather Service said that regardless of Lane's eventual track and intensity, computer models are pointing to an extremely moist tropical airmass moving over the islands beginning around Wednesday through the end of the week. A high surf advisory is in effect for east-facing shores of those islands.

The initial motion estimate is 285/13 kt. The large expansive subtropical ridge to the north of the hurricane is forecast to remain intact and gradually build westward to the north of the Hawaiian Islands throughout the 120-h forecast period. The official forecast track lies close to a blend of the HCCA, TVCE, and FSSE consensus models.

But the track is uncertain this early, and there's a chance Lane by Tuesday night could bring winds of at least tropical-storm strength (39 miles per hour and higher) to Hawaii's Big Island, the Central Pacific Hurricane Center says.

He added: "Expect intensification at least into the weekend".