Fifty-four percent of registered voters in New Jersey say they would vote or lean toward voting for the Democratic candidate in their district compared with 35 percent who would support the Republican candidate if the election was held now.
Democrats have a 19-point lead over Republicans in the generic House ballot among registered voters in the state, according to a Monmouth University poll. Analysts expect Democrats to need a six- to eight-point lead in so-called generic-ballot polls to win a majority of congressional districts.
While Democrats may see momentum ahead of the November 2018 midterms, voter registration may have them pull back their excitement just a little bit.
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Gun policy has shown a strong presence with the poll finding that "M$3 ore than 4 in 10 registered voters say it is extremely important that candidates share their views on gun issues". "If these results hold, we could be down to just one or two-or maybe even zero-Republican members in the state congressional delegation after November". The same CNN poll had showed a 16-point Democratic edge in February.
An NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll conducted from April 8-11 - the same time frame as the Post-ABC poll - found a 7-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot for Democrats, down from a 10-point edge in March. Young voters have heavily favored Democrats in recent elections. They are pushing for a measure to be included on the ballot that repeals the increase. 59% of voters in those are as went using the Republican candidate, as well as 38 percent for the Democrat.
Almost 58 percent of voters oppose the tax increase, including 39 percent who say they strongly reject the legislation, according to a survey the University of California, Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies conducted shortly after the measure passed. He has also donated $2 million to Democratic issues such as gun control and environmental protection. Those who say it is extremely important favor Democrats over Republicans by 11 points, 54 percent to 43 percent. Fewer, but still half, call it important for them to back a candidate who shares their view of Donald Trump, and a yet small number, about a third, are looking for a candidate who agrees with them about Nancy Pelosi, the House Democratic leader. Among Republicans, she is well-known and widely disliked, with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points; the error margin is four points among the sample of 865 registered voters.
The poll surveyed 703 new-jersey adults by telephone April 610, 6 32 of whom are registered Republicans.